SOLICITATION NOTICE
B -- Services to improve the accuracy of 4-year ahead projections of Cancer Mortality Counts
- Notice Date
- 8/18/2010
- Notice Type
- Presolicitation
- NAICS
- 541690
— Other Scientific and Technical Consulting Services
- Contracting Office
- Department of Health and Human Services, National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, Office of Acquisitions, 6120 Executive Blvd., EPS Suite 600, Rockville, Maryland, 20852
- ZIP Code
- 20852
- Solicitation Number
- NCI-100177-AV
- Archive Date
- 9/17/2010
- Point of Contact
- Ashley L. Virts,
- E-Mail Address
-
virtsa@mail.nih.gov
(virtsa@mail.nih.gov)
- Small Business Set-Aside
- N/A
- Description
- The National Cancer Institute (NCI), Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences (DCCPS), Statistical Research and Applications Branch (SRP), Statistical Methodology and Applications Branch (SMAB), plans to procure on a sole source basis with The University of Nevada, Las Vegas (UNLV); Department of Mathematical Sciences; 4505 Maryland Pkwy; Las Vegas, NV 89154-4020 for services to improve the accuracy of 4-year ahead projections of Cancer Mortality Counts. This acquisition will be processed in accordance with simplified acquisition procedures as stated in FAR Part 13.106-1 (b) (1). The North American Industry Classification System Code is 541690 and the business size standard is $7M. Only one award will be made as a result of this solicitation. This will be awarded as a firm fixed price type contract. Period of Performance: Performance shall be for twelve months from date of award. Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences (DCCPS) is an intramural research program of the National Cancer Institute (NCI), National Institutes of Health (NIH) that conducts research dealing with cancer and related problems depending on projected figures of cancer deaths as an estimate of cancer burden for planning and resource allocation. Data on cancer mortality are obtained from death certificates filed by certifying physicians. However, there has been a delay in the release of the final mortality data in the past few years. As a result, the 2009 CFF & Cancer Statistics article was released in May 2009, instead of January 2009. The delay is unlikely to improve in the next few years, so there is a current need to use 4-years-ahead projections in order to provide the critical information to the media and scientific community. The main objective of the proposed acquisition is to study the patterns of 4-year-ahead projections of mortality counts for cancer instead of the typical 3-year-ahead projections. The four-year approaches will include using better estimates, different models, and novel statistical methods to produce accurate data. In addition, the approaches should account for recent changes in cancer mortality rates and associated counts. The Contractor will perform the following tasks: 1. Improve the State-Space model currently in use in the American Cancer Society (ACS) publication. 2. Use two additional models to predict future mortality counts of common cancers. 3. Develop an alternative method based on the results from tasks 1-2. The University of Nevada at Las Vegas (UNLV) Department of Mathematical Sciences is uniquely qualified to perform the required services above. Dr. Kaushik Ghosh, an Assistant Professor of Statistics at the Department of Mathematical Sciences in UNLV, has contributed to several publications related to projection of cancer mortality counts in the US at the national level. Moreover, several of these articles are on semiparametric Bayesian analysis using Dirichlet process. The UNLV and Dr. Ghosh are world experts in developing models for temporal projection of cancer mortality counts in the US at the national and state levels in collaboration with the American Cancer Society (ACS) and the National Cancer Institute (NCI). The methods have been applied to the ACS for publishing the cancer mortality counts. There is no other laboratory known that possesses the experience, expertise, and detailed knowledge to complete this work. This is not a solicitation for competitive quotations. However, if any interested party believes they can meet the above requirement, they may submit a statement of capabilities. All information furnished must be in writing and must contain sufficient detail to allow the NCI to determine if it can meet the above unique specifications described herein. An original and one copy of the capability statement must be received in the NCI Office of Acquisitions on or before 11:00 AM EST on September 2, 2010. No electronic capability statements will be accepted (i.e. email or fax), an original and one copy must be sent to the NCI Office of Acquisitions to the address stated above. All questions must be in writing and can be faxed (301) 402-4513 or emailed to Ashley Virts, Contract Specialist at virtsa@mail.nih.gov. A determination by the Government not to compete this proposed contract based upon responses to this notice is solely within the discretion of the Government. Information received will be considered solely for the purpose of determining whether to conduct a competitive procurement. In order to receive an award, contractors must have valid registration and certification in the Central Contractor Registration (CCR) www.ccr.gov and the Online Representations and Certifications Applications (ORCA), http://orca.bpn.gov. No collect calls will be accepted. Please reference solicitation number NCI-100177-AV on all correspondences.
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- Record
- SN02245408-W 20100820/100818235538-5190a72df2e0ee64753604cb2e53d9ba (fbodaily.com)
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