Commander, USAINSCOM SPT Bn (PROV), Attn: IASB-DCO, 8825 Beulah Street, Fort Belvoir, VA 22060-5246

B -- DEVELOPMENT OF FUTURES INTELLIGENCE FORECASTING METHODOLOGIES SOL DASC01-98-R-0006 DUE 081498 POC Contact Linda Montgomery, 703/706-2777 or Gail Gilchrist 703/706-1710 The United States Army Intelligence and Security Command (USAINSCOM), Directorate of Contracting intends to solicit and negotiate with a small business concern for futures intelligence methodologies project. The objective of this effort is to provide a contractual method of researching, developing, testing, and evaluating hardware and software used for the future intelligence forecasting methodologies project in support of decision makers, unified and specified commands and/or of the modeling and simulating community. This effort shall include RDTE of mathematical concepts and methodologies associated with decision aids and tools and production of any developed decision aids and tools. The scope of this contract shall support futures intelligence forecasting analysis within the U.S. Army and the Department of Defense. Contractor shall research, develop, test and evaluation multi-service/joint models using state-of-the-art visualization techniques for complex data on a variety of automated platforms. Contract shall incorporate scenario analyses via an adaptation of such methods as the Discrete Richardson model and involves a significant effort in RDTE to develop conflict analysis methodologies in conjunction with existing capability analysis techniques. The user tools shall be compatible with the National Ground Intelligence Center's, or other government agencies', software. Contractor shall have access to academic and commercial consultants to develop and refine mathematical concepts including applications of chaos/complexity theory, self-organized criticality, semiotics, and cellar automata, expansion and extension of the rating schema and their subsequent application, and state-of-the-art visualization techniques for complex data sets and state-of-the-art hum computer interface design. Primary performance is at contractor's location with minimal performance at the National Ground Intelligence Center, at Charlottesville, Virginia. Key personnel proposal shall possess a Secret clearance adjudicated by the United States Army Central Personnel Clearance Facility by contract award date. The period of performance is base year plus four option years. The Standard Industrial Classification Code is 8999 with a business size of $5,000,000. Interested small business concerns must express they interest in writing by e-mail at lgmongt@vulcan.army.mil or by fax at (703) 806-1156. Do not mail in you interest letter. TELEPHONE INQUIRES WILL NOT BE ACCEPTED. See Notes 1 and 26. (0167)

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